Rest of Season Projection
HoganCategoryVictor
40K ←33
3.67ERA ←3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
2–4W ←1–3
4–7SV →5–9
Current Season
HoganCategoryVictor
31K ←16
2.60ERA ←8.00
1.59WHIP ←2.11
2W ←1
4SV4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Hogan Harris
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.25)
Victor Vodnik
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.397 elevated and unstable — the 8.00 ERA overstates the damage
- xeraNOISEbut luck-free xERA 4.49 is +0.39 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy
Harris projects for 41 K against Vodnik's 33 K, with a near-identical ERA (3.67 vs 3.70). The K-rate gap favors Harris, but both hold.