MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Fernando Cruz
Fernando Cruz
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (WHIP); Fernando Cruz wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Fernando Cruz
93.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.0%
Fernando Cruz
17.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
28.4%
Fernando Cruz
28.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
35.8%
Fernando Cruz
29.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.3%
Fernando Cruz
27.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
10.5%
Fernando Cruz
9.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.328
Fernando Cruz
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
25.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
4.29
Fernando Cruz
25.13
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.19
3.30
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.161.45
now 1.34
1.23
Fernando Cruz
1.161.45
now 1.30
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4042
now 15
0
Fernando Cruz
4042
now 30
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0004.20
now 2
0–0
Fernando Cruz
.0004.20
now 3
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Thielbar — sell.conf 0.70
BuyFernando Cruz — buy.conf 0.84
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