Rest of Season Projection
CalebCategoryJack
33K →46
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W ←2–4
2–8SV3–6
Current Season
CalebCategoryJack
15K →33
2.84ERA ←5.46
1.34WHIP →1.21
2W2
2SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Caleb Thielbar
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.82)
Jack Perkins
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.66 sits 0.44 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.333 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Caleb Thielbar: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Jack Perkins: 46 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).