MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Shane Drohan
Shane Drohan
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (WHIP); Shane Drohan wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.3
Shane Drohan
94.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.0%
Shane Drohan
13.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
28.4%
Shane Drohan
23.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
35.8%
Shane Drohan
32.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.3%
Shane Drohan
38.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
10.5%
Shane Drohan
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.328
Shane Drohan
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
2.264.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
4.29
Shane Drohan
2.264.87
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.87
3.77
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.071.42
now 1.34
1.23
Shane Drohan
1.071.42
now 1.15
1.32

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4046.20
now 15
0
Shane Drohan
4046.20
now 33
0
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0002.80
now 2
0–0
Shane Drohan
.0002.80
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellCaleb Thielbar — sell.conf 0.70
Buy LowShane Drohan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.71
Tweet