MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 27, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Travis Adams
MIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Travis Adams.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts. Caleb Thielbar’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Travis Adams wins 1 categories (K); Caleb Thielbar wins 0 (none); 4 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Travis Adams
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Travis Adams
13.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.8%
Travis Adams
27.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.4%
Travis Adams
32.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.7%
Travis Adams
30.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
Travis Adams
7.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.318
Travis Adams
.310
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Travis Adams
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.18
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
1.121.67
now 1.34
1.24
Travis Adams
1.121.67
now 1.55
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4023.60
now 15
17
Travis Adams
4023.60
now 13
18
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.20
now 2
14
Travis Adams
.0005.20
now 1
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.40
now 2
14
Travis Adams
.0005.40
now 1
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTravis Adams — hold.conf 0.50
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