MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
Engraved portrait of Cam Schlittler
Cam Schlittler
NYY·P
Sell High high·0.95
Change to
Engraved portrait of Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
CIN·P
Hold med·0.60
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

CamCategoryChris
114K 73
2.75ERA 4.50
1.05WHIP 1.42
6–14W 0–0
0SV0

Current Season

CamCategoryChris
81K 35
1.50ERA 6.90
0.85WHIP 1.71
7W 0
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Cam Schlittler
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.256 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.75 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Chris Paddack
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.352 elevated and unstable — the 7.17 ERA overstates the damage
  • xeraSIGNALbut luck-free xERA 4.71 is +0.61 vs league — the level it regresses to is below average, not a buy

Cam Schlittler: 117 K / 2.74 ERA. Chris Paddack: 76 K / 4.48 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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