Rest of Season Projection
CarlosCategoryCeddanne
11HR ←10
27R →38
33RBI →38
2SB →10
.313AVG ←.249
Current Season
CarlosCategoryCeddanne
5HR5
14R →23
17RBI →23
1SB →6
.328AVG ←.275
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carlos Cortes
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.386, +0.071 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.340 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
Carlos Cortes: 11 HR / 27 R. Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).