Rest of Season Projection
CarmenCategoryTrey
77K ←29
4.72ERA →4.10
1.39WHIP →1.30
4–9W ←3–6
0SV0
Current Season
CarmenCategoryTrey
46K ←5
3.76ERA ←4.24
1.42WHIP ←1.53
4W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carmen Mlodzinski
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.05 +0.95 vs league with no luck excuse
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.78 is 3.54 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Carmen Mlodzinski: 77 K / 4.72 ERA. Trey Gibson: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).