Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryTrey
86K ←29
4.74ERA →4.10
1.33WHIP →1.30
2–5W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
JakeCategoryTrey
58K ←5
5.23ERA →4.24
1.35WHIP ←1.53
2W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Irvin
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.08 +0.98 vs league with no luck excuse
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.78 is 3.54 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jake Irvin: 86 K / 4.74 ERA. Trey Gibson: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).