Rest of Season Projection
TannerCategoryTrey
83K ←29
4.46ERA →4.10
1.29WHIP ←1.30
0–0W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
TannerCategoryTrey
60K ←5
4.57ERA →4.24
1.30WHIP ←1.53
0W →1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Tanner Bibee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.253 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.66 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Trey Gibson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 7.78 is 3.54 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 7% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Tanner Bibee: 83 K / 4.46 ERA. Trey Gibson: 29 K / 4.10 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).