MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Carson Palmquist
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Carson Palmquist wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Seth Lugo wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
91.2
Seth Lugo
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
11.4%
Seth Lugo
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
20.3%
Seth Lugo
18.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Carson Palmquist
35.4%
Seth Lugo
24.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Carson Palmquist
24.5%
Seth Lugo
44.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Carson Palmquist
4.1%
Seth Lugo
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Carson Palmquist
.320
Seth Lugo
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Carson Palmquist
25.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
4.10
Seth Lugo
25.82
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.93
WHIPlower is better
Carson Palmquist
.9001.57
now 0.90
1.30
Seth Lugo
.9001.57
now 1.35
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Carson Palmquist
4082.80
now 3
23
Seth Lugo
4082.80
now 60
43
Winshigher is better
Carson Palmquist
.0002.80
now 0
00
Seth Lugo
.0002.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCarson Palmquist — hold.conf 0.55
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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