Rest of Season Projection
CarterCategoryPatrick
9HR ←7
39R ←14
44RBI ←21
0SB →5
.183AVG →.219
Current Season
CarterCategoryPatrick
7HR ←2
23R ←6
26RBI ←9
0SB →2
.223AVG ←.147
What Each Player's System Trusts
Carter Jensen
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.275 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Patrick Bailey
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.183 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Carter Jensen: 9 HR / 39 R. Patrick Bailey: 7 HR / 14 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).