MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 3, 2026
Portrait of Casey Mize
Casey Mize
DET · P
Change to
Tarik Skubal
LAD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tarik Skubal.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Tarik Skubal wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Casey Mize wins 0 (none); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Casey Mize
93.5
Tarik Skubal
96.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
13.4%
Tarik Skubal
17.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Casey Mize
24.9%
Tarik Skubal
31.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Casey Mize
29.5%
Tarik Skubal
36.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
36.0%
Tarik Skubal
36.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Casey Mize
6.4%
Tarik Skubal
7.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Casey Mize
.273
Tarik Skubal
.269
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Casey Mize
23.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.27
3.07
Tarik Skubal
23.39
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.70
2.98
WHIPlower is better
Casey Mize
.9001.24
now 0.97
1.16
Tarik Skubal
.9001.24
now 0.95
1.00

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Casey Mize
4054.60
now 49
39
Tarik Skubal
4054.60
now 45
42
Winshigher is better
Casey Mize
.0005.20
now 2
12
Tarik Skubal
.0005.20
now 3
24

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCasey Mize — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.80
BuyTarik Skubal — buy.conf 0.92
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