Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryMatt
15HR →20
44R →60
53RBI →66
8SB ←1
.263AVG ←.252
Current Season
CaseyCategoryMatt
12HR →16
27R →41
33RBI →45
5SB ←1
.289AVG ←.261
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Schmitt
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Matt Olson
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.380, +0.065 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Casey Schmitt: 15 HR / 44 R. Matt Olson: 20 HR / 60 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

