Rest of Season Projection
BryceCategoryCasey
17HR ←15
52R ←44
52RBI →53
6SB →8
.269AVG ←.263
Current Season
BryceCategoryCasey
13HR ←12
34R ←27
34RBI ←33
4SB →5
.261AVG →.289
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryce Harper
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.265 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Casey Schmitt
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Bryce Harper: 17 HR / 52 R. Casey Schmitt: 15 HR / 44 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).