Rest of Season Projection
CaseyCategoryNick
15HR →18
44R →56
53RBI →59
8SB →9
.263AVG ←.253
Current Season
CaseyCategoryNick
12HR ←10
27R →39
33RBI →41
5SB →6
.289AVG.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Casey Schmitt
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.351, +0.036 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nick Kurtz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.399, +0.084 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Casey Schmitt: 15 HR / 44 R. Nick Kurtz: 18 HR / 56 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).