Rest of Season Projection
JakeCategoryNick
16HR →19
53R →58
57RBI →61
7SB →9
.258AVG ←.252
Current Season
JakeCategoryNick
9HR →10
31R →39
33RBI →41
4SB →6
.277AVG →.288
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jake Bauers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.355, +0.040 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Nick Kurtz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.398, +0.083 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jake Bauers: 16 HR / 53 R. Nick Kurtz: 19 HR / 58 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).