MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Jake Bauers
Jake Bauers
MIL · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
TOR · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jake Bauers.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs and RBI. Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jake Bauers wins 2 categories (HR, RBI); Vladimir Guerrero Jr. wins 1 (AVG); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jake Bauers
92.5
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
90.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jake Bauers
52.9%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
44.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jake Bauers
13.8%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
7.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jake Bauers
20.6%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
31.0%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jake Bauers
11.3%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
9.9%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jake Bauers
.361
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jake Bauers
.220.320
lg AVG .295
now .277
.244
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
.220.320
lg AVG .295
now .298
.289

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jake Bauers
511.40
now 9
6
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
511.40
now 3
5
Runshigher is better
Jake Bauers
23.8038.20
now 31
27
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
23.8038.20
now 35
27
RBIhigher is better
Jake Bauers
2039
now 33
29
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2039
now 24
18
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jake Bauers
2.806.20
now 4
4
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2.806.20
now 5
4
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJake Bauers — buy.conf 0.69
BuyVladimir Guerrero Jr. — buy.conf 0.67
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