Rest of Season Projection
BenCategoryVladimir
20HR ←15
70R ←54
70RBI ←37
3SB →8
.270AVG →.320
Current Season
BenCategoryVladimir
17HR ←3
44R ←35
44RBI ←24
2SB →5
.306AVG ←.298
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ben Rice
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.333 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.408 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.361, +0.046 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ben Rice projects for 20 HR / 70 R vs Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s 15 HR / 54 R — Guerrero's .320 AVG and 8 SB outpaces Rice's .270 / 3. The stat spread backs the sell-high buy spread.