Rest of Season Projection
CeddanneCategoryGarrett
9HR ←8
36R →37
36RBI →49
9SB →11
.247AVG ←.204
Current Season
CeddanneCategoryGarrett
5HR ←3
23R ←21
23RBI →28
6SB6
.275AVG ←.230
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.344 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.297 is 0.048 below the surface — regression coming
Garrett Mitchell
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.325)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 36% is stable and high — caps the floor
Ceddanne Rafaela: 9 HR / 36 R. Garrett Mitchell: 8 HR / 37 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).