Rest of Season Projection
CeddanneCategoryHeriberto
10HR →11
37R ←17
37RBI →50
10SB →12
.251AVG →.259
Current Season
CeddanneCategoryHeriberto
5HR ←3
23R ←7
23RBI ←20
6SB ←5
.275AVG ←.206
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.349 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.301 is 0.049 below the surface — regression coming
Heriberto Hernández
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.240 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 37 R. Heriberto Hernández: 11 HR / 17 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).