MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 11, 2026
Portrait of Ceddanne Rafaela
Ceddanne Rafaela
BOS · CF
Change to
Portrait of Shohei Ohtani
Shohei Ohtani
LAD · TWP
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Shohei Ohtani.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, RBI, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Shohei Ohtani wins 4 categories (HR, R, RBI, AVG); Ceddanne Rafaela wins 1 (SB).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
86.2
Shohei Ohtani
93.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
32.6%
Shohei Ohtani
52.1%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
5.0%
Shohei Ohtani
16.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
40.3%
Shohei Ohtani
28.6%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
13.2%
Shohei Ohtani
12.5%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.286
Shohei Ohtani
.411
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
.230.310
lg AVG .295
now .275
.245
Shohei Ohtani
.230.310
lg AVG .295
now .289
.285

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
515.20
now 5
4
Shohei Ohtani
515.20
now 10
12
Runshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2044.40
now 23
22
Shohei Ohtani
2044.40
now 38
33
RBIhigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
2034.60
now 23
22
Shohei Ohtani
2034.60
now 31
27
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Ceddanne Rafaela
3.807.20
now 6
6
Shohei Ohtani
3.807.20
now 6
5
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighCeddanne Rafaela — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.78
BuyShohei Ohtani — buy.conf 0.79
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