Rest of Season Projection
CeddanneCategoryTyler
10HR →15
38R →40
38RBI →40
10SB ←2
.249AVG.248
Current Season
CeddanneCategoryTyler
5HR →7
23R →26
23RBI →26
6SB ←1
.275AVG ←.226
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ceddanne Rafaela
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.340 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.303 is 0.041 below the surface — regression coming
Tyler Soderstrom
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.332, +0.017 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Ceddanne Rafaela: 10 HR / 38 R. Tyler Soderstrom: 15 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).