MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Portrait of Chad Patrick
Chad Patrick
MIL · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Gusto.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Chad Patrick’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Ryan Gusto wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Chad Patrick wins 2 (W, SV).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chad Patrick
94.9
Ryan Gusto
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
13.6%
Ryan Gusto
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
21.0%
Ryan Gusto
15.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chad Patrick
30.5%
Ryan Gusto
31.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
40.7%
Ryan Gusto
49.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chad Patrick
7.4%
Ryan Gusto
13.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chad Patrick
.319
Ryan Gusto
.385
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chad Patrick
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.54
4.00
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Chad Patrick
1.011.86
now 1.20
1.35
Ryan Gusto
1.011.86
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chad Patrick
4069.80
now 34
45
Ryan Gusto
4069.80
now 4
51
Winshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0008.40
now 3
26
Ryan Gusto
.0008.40
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Chad Patrick
.0007
now 2
15
Ryan Gusto
.0007
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyChad Patrick — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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