MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Portrait of Paul Blackburn
Paul Blackburn
NYY · P
Change to
Ryan Gusto
MIA · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Ryan Gusto.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP. Paul Blackburn’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Ryan Gusto wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Paul Blackburn wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
94.3
Ryan Gusto
93.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
8.4%
Ryan Gusto
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
16.7%
Ryan Gusto
15.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Paul Blackburn
24.9%
Ryan Gusto
31.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
38.2%
Ryan Gusto
49.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
6.9%
Ryan Gusto
13.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Paul Blackburn
.323
Ryan Gusto
.385
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Paul Blackburn
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.33
3.72
Ryan Gusto
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 9.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Paul Blackburn
1.071.84
now 1.44
1.25
Ryan Gusto
1.071.84
now 1.67
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
4069.80
now 16
25
Ryan Gusto
4069.80
now 4
51
Winshigher is better
Paul Blackburn
.0007
now 2
25
Ryan Gusto
.0007
now 0
00

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seePaul Blackburn — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeRyan Gusto — hold.conf 0.50
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