MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 11, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Logan Henderson
MIL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Logan Henderson.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Chase Burns’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Logan Henderson wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Chase Burns wins 0 (none); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Logan Henderson
93.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.6%
Logan Henderson
14.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.2%
Logan Henderson
30.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.9%
Logan Henderson
31.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.1%
Logan Henderson
37.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
7.8%
Logan Henderson
8.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.276
Logan Henderson
.251
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
23.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.16
Logan Henderson
23.64
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.74
2.60
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.32
now 0.96
1.22
Logan Henderson
.9001.32
now 1.04
0.99

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
4095.20
now 72
14
Logan Henderson
4095.20
now 30
14
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.40
now 7
12
Logan Henderson
.0009.40
now 2
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.88
BuyLogan Henderson — buy.conf 0.92
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