MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Portrait of Chase Burns
Chase Burns
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Nick Martinez
Nick Martinez
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Chase Burns wins 1 (ERA); Nick Martinez wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Burns
97.6
Nick Martinez
92.7
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
15.7%
Nick Martinez
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Burns
29.4%
Nick Martinez
15.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Burns
34.3%
Nick Martinez
32.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
38.2%
Nick Martinez
32.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Burns
8.0%
Nick Martinez
6.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Burns
.279
Nick Martinez
.305
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Burns
24.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.96
3.24
Nick Martinez
24.84
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.62
3.92
WHIPlower is better
Chase Burns
.9001.35
now 0.96
1.24
Nick Martinez
.9001.35
now 1.11
1.15

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Burns
40100.80
now 72
0
Nick Martinez
40100.80
now 41
0
Winshigher is better
Chase Burns
.0009.80
now 7
0–0
Nick Martinez
.0009.80
now 5
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyChase Burns — buy.conf 0.86
Sell HighNick Martinez — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
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