Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryCooper
33K ←27
3.70ERA →3.66
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
ChaseCategoryCooper
20K ←19
2.33ERA ←3.08
0.93WHIP ←1.10
2W2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Cooper Criswell
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.08)
Chase Shugart: 33 K / 3.70 ERA. Cooper Criswell: 27 K / 3.66 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).