Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryDennis
34K →38
3.70ERA ←3.76
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–6W ←2–5
0SV →2–4
Current Season
ChaseCategoryDennis
20K ←19
2.33ERA ←4.81
0.93WHIP ←1.48
2W2
0SV →2
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Shugart
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
Dennis Santana
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.18)
Chase Shugart: 34 K / 3.70 ERA. Dennis Santana: 38 K / 3.76 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).