MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Chase Shugart
Chase Shugart
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Pierce Johnson
Pierce Johnson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chase Shugart wins 2 (ERA, W); Pierce Johnson wins 2 (K, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chase Shugart
96.1
Pierce Johnson
95.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
10.6%
Pierce Johnson
11.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
29.3%
Pierce Johnson
20.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chase Shugart
26.4%
Pierce Johnson
33.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
35.6%
Pierce Johnson
40.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chase Shugart
11.5%
Pierce Johnson
12.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chase Shugart
.322
Pierce Johnson
.368
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chase Shugart
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.33
3.70
Pierce Johnson
24.30
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.27
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Chase Shugart
.9001.36
now 0.93
1.24
Pierce Johnson
.9001.36
now 1.23
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chase Shugart
4025.60
now 20
13
Pierce Johnson
4025.60
now 20
16
Winshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.5202.48
now 2
12
Pierce Johnson
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Chase Shugart
.0002.40
now 0
0
Pierce Johnson
.0002.40
now 1
01
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChase Shugart — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seePierce Johnson — hold.conf 0.50
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