Rest of Season Projection
ChaseCategoryTim
31K ←21
3.70ERA3.71
1.24WHIP1.24
1–2W →2–5
0SV0
Current Season
ChaseCategoryTim
20K ←11
1.74ERA ←4.03
1.40WHIP →1.21
1W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chase Silseth
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.83 is 1.93 above the ERA — regression coming
Tim Hill
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.25)
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chase Silseth: 31 K / 3.70 ERA. Tim Hill: 21 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).