MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Tony Santillan
Tony Santillan
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Chris Murphy.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and wins. Tony Santillan’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Chris Murphy wins 2 categories (ERA, W); Tony Santillan wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Tony Santillan
94.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.3%
Tony Santillan
10.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.4%
Tony Santillan
20.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
29.2%
Tony Santillan
28.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
34.9%
Tony Santillan
46.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
7.9%
Tony Santillan
10.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.304
Tony Santillan
.348
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Tony Santillan
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.56
3.74
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Tony Santillan
.9002.55
now 1.50
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4029.80
now 6
14
Tony Santillan
4029.80
now 22
23
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.20
now 1
14
Tony Santillan
.0005.20
now 1
11
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.0005.40
now 1
14
Tony Santillan
.0005.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTony Santillan — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet