Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryEric
84K ←81
4.54ERA ←4.96
1.43WHIP →1.40
0–0W →3–6
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryEric
35K ←30
6.90ERA →5.95
1.71WHIP →1.39
0W →2
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Paddack
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Eric Lauer
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 5.42 +1.32 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chris Paddack: 84 K / 4.54 ERA. Eric Lauer: 81 K / 4.96 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).