MLB Daily DeltaWeek 11 · June 4, 2026
Engraved portrait of Chris Paddack
Chris Paddack
CIN·P
Buy Low high·0.90
Change to
Engraved portrait of Jacob Misiorowski
Jacob Misiorowski
MIL·P
Sell High high·0.87
Change to

Rest of Season Projection

ChrisCategoryJacob
84K 163
4.54ERA 2.19
1.43WHIP 0.98
0–0W 6–13
0SV0

Current Season

ChrisCategoryJacob
35K 108
6.90ERA 1.65
1.71WHIP 0.79
0W 6
0SV0

What Each Player's System Trusts

Chris Paddack
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Jacob Misiorowski
  • babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
  • xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming

Chris Paddack: 84 K / 4.54 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.

Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

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