Rest of Season Projection
ChrisCategoryTomoyuki
84K ←58
4.54ERA ←6.36
1.43WHIP →1.36
0–0W →5–10
0SV0
Current Season
ChrisCategoryTomoyuki
35K ←31
6.90ERA →4.01
1.71WHIP →1.25
0W →4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chris Paddack
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.353 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Tomoyuki Sugano
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.258 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 7.58 is 3.60 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Chris Paddack: 84 K / 4.54 ERA. Tomoyuki Sugano: 58 K / 6.36 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).