Rest of Season Projection
CionelCategoryWill
25K →39
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–6W ←1–3
0SV →1–3
Current Season
CionelCategoryWill
10K →20
5.82ERA ←7.23
1.59WHIP →1.45
2W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cionel Pérez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.263 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 8.37 is 2.69 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Will Vest
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.340 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Cionel Pérez: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Will Vest: 39 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).