Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryHunter
5HR →6
27R ←25
34RBI ←19
3SB ←0
.228AVG ←.211
Current Season
ConnorCategoryHunter
0HR →1
8R8
10RBI ←6
1SB ←0
.258AVG →.269
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Hunter Feduccia
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.300)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 32% is stable and high — caps the floor
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Hunter Feduccia: 6 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).