Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryPatrick
5HR →7
27R ←14
34RBI ←21
3SB →5
.228AVG ←.219
Current Season
ConnorCategoryPatrick
0HR →2
8R ←6
10RBI ←9
1SB →2
.258AVG ←.147
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Patrick Bailey
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.183 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Patrick Bailey: 7 HR / 14 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).