Rest of Season Projection
ConnorCategoryPedro
5HR →7
27R ←25
34RBI ←21
3SB →5
.228AVG ←.211
Current Season
ConnorCategoryPedro
0HR →4
8R →11
10RBI ←9
1SB →2
.258AVG ←.216
What Each Player's System Trusts
Connor Wong
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.347 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.286 is 0.038 below the surface — regression coming
Pedro Pagés
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.279)
Connor Wong: 5 HR / 27 R. Pedro Pagés: 7 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).