Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryJordan
14HR14
57R →60
43RBI →66
11SB11
.266AVG ←.253
Current Season
CorbinCategoryJordan
7HR →15
37R →39
28RBI →43
7SB7
.286AVG ←.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Jordan Walker
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.369, +0.054 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Jordan Walker: 14 HR / 60 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).