MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · July 31, 2026
Portrait of Craig Kimbrel
Craig Kimbrel
TB · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 4 categories (ERA, WHIP, W, SV); Craig Kimbrel wins 1 (K).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
93.6
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
12.1%
Louis Varland
15.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
22.4%
Louis Varland
34.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Craig Kimbrel
29.1%
Louis Varland
36.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
34.8%
Louis Varland
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
3.4%
Louis Varland
2.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Craig Kimbrel
.310
Louis Varland
.223
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
27.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.63
3.70
Louis Varland
27.77
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
2.06
WHIPlower is better
Craig Kimbrel
.9001.60
now 1.44
1.24
Louis Varland
.9001.60
now 1.03
1.09

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
4052
now 17
25
Louis Varland
4052
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.0002.80
now 0
00
Louis Varland
.0002.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Craig Kimbrel
.00011.20
now 0
0
Louis Varland
.00011.20
now 8
36
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCraig Kimbrel — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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