MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 15, 2026
Cristian Javier
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Cristian Javier wins 2 (ERA, WHIP); Tyler Mahle wins 2 (K, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cristian Javier
93.0
Tyler Mahle
92.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
12.8%
Tyler Mahle
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
15.2%
Tyler Mahle
21.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cristian Javier
27.4%
Tyler Mahle
28.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cristian Javier
42.0%
Tyler Mahle
34.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cristian Javier
10.0%
Tyler Mahle
7.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cristian Javier
.395
Tyler Mahle
.317
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cristian Javier
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 12.54
4.10
Tyler Mahle
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
4.16
WHIPlower is better
Cristian Javier
.9002.55
now 2.36
1.30
Tyler Mahle
.9002.55
now 1.54
1.39

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cristian Javier
4083.80
now 4
26
Tyler Mahle
4083.80
now 57
61
Winshigher is better
Cristian Javier
.0001.48
now 0
00
Tyler Mahle
.0001.48
now 1
11

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCristian Javier — hold.conf 0.55
Buy LowTyler Mahle — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Tweet