Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryDylan
5HR →7
29R ←21
20RBI ←16
0SB →5
.190AVG →.258
Current Season
DavidCategoryDylan
3HR ←1
12R ←4
8RBI ←3
0SB →1
.259AVG ←.220
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.358 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.284 is 0.055 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Dylan Crews
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.204 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
David Fry: 5 HR / 29 R. Dylan Crews: 7 HR / 21 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).