Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryJake
6HR6
31R ←25
21RBI →22
0SB →3
.185AVG →.213
Current Season
DavidCategoryJake
3HR ←2
12R ←8
8RBI ←7
0SB →1
.259AVG ←.236
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Fry
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.353 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.270 is 0.063 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 31% is stable and high — caps the floor
Jake Meyers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.272)
David Fry: 6 HR / 31 R. Jake Meyers: 6 HR / 25 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).