Rest of Season Projection
DavidCategoryPierce
37K37
3.70ERA ←3.75
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W ←2–5
0SV →1–3
Current Season
DavidCategoryPierce
17K →20
5.28ERA →3.27
1.89WHIP →1.23
2W2
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
David Morgan
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.27)
Pierce Johnson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.23 is 2.96 above the ERA — regression coming
David Morgan: 37 K / 3.70 ERA. Pierce Johnson: 37 K / 3.75 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).