Who's more valuable, rest of season
David Morgan.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and wins. Richard Lovelady’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
◀
WHIP
◀
W
SV
▶
David Morgan wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, W); Richard Lovelady wins 1 (SV).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
David Morgan
97.4
Richard Lovelady
91.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
16.1%
Richard Lovelady
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
David Morgan
24.8%
Richard Lovelady
18.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
David Morgan
36.3%
Richard Lovelady
29.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
27.0%
Richard Lovelady
32.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
David Morgan
1.6%
Richard Lovelady
6.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
David Morgan
.284
Richard Lovelady
.361
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
David Morgan
2.626.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
Richard Lovelady
2.626.04
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.38
3.77
WHIPlower is better
David Morgan
.9802.15
now 1.89
1.24
Richard Lovelady
.9802.15
now 1.75
1.26
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
David Morgan
4027.60
now 17
22
Richard Lovelady
4027.60
now 21
18
Winshigher is better
David Morgan
.0005.20
now 2
1–4
Richard Lovelady
.0005.20
now 2
1–2
Saveshigher is better
David Morgan
.0005.60
now 0
0
Richard Lovelady
.0005.60
now 4
2–4
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeRichard Lovelady — hold.conf 0.50