MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 21, 2026
Portrait of Derek Hill
Derek Hill
PHI · RF
Change to
Portrait of Evan Carter
Evan Carter
TEX · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Derek Hill wins 2 (SB, AVG); Evan Carter wins 2 (R, RBI); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Derek Hill
90.4
Evan Carter
87.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Derek Hill
34.9%
Evan Carter
37.6%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Derek Hill
10.8%
Evan Carter
6.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Derek Hill
34.6%
Evan Carter
19.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Derek Hill
18.1%
Evan Carter
11.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Derek Hill
.290
Evan Carter
.293
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Derek Hill
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .234
.212
Evan Carter
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .171
.185

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Derek Hill
57.20
now 3
3
Evan Carter
57.20
now 6
3
Runshigher is better
Derek Hill
2027.20
now 9
15
Evan Carter
2027.20
now 22
19
RBIhigher is better
Derek Hill
2022.80
now 6
10
Evan Carter
2022.80
now 18
15
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Derek Hill
4.4011.60
now 6
10
Evan Carter
4.4011.60
now 9
8
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDerek Hill — hold.conf 0.50
SellEvan Carter — sell.conf 0.59
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