Rest of Season Projection
DrewCategoryJoey
2HR →5
32R ←31
20RBI →21
0SB0
.202AVG ←.198
Current Season
DrewCategoryJoey
2HR2
14R ←9
9RBI ←6
0SB0
.174AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Drew Millas
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.277)
Joey Bart
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.361 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.256 is 0.039 below the surface — regression coming
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 34% is stable and high — caps the floor
Drew Millas: 2 HR / 32 R. Joey Bart: 5 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).