Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryJuan
52K ←49
3.56ERA ←3.71
1.22WHIP ←1.26
2–5W ←1–2
0SV →3–6
Current Season
DylanCategoryJuan
34K ←30
1.30ERA ←6.00
0.61WHIP ←1.70
2W ←1
0SV →3
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Lee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.210 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.69 is 0.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Juan Mejia
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.372 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Dylan Lee: 52 K / 3.56 ERA. Juan Mejia: 49 K / 3.71 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).