Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryDylan
37K →52
3.66ERA →3.56
1.24WHIP →1.22
2–5W2–5
4–7SV ←0
Current Season
BradCategoryDylan
28K →34
3.65ERA →1.30
1.14WHIP →0.61
2W2
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Keller
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.81)
Dylan Lee
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.210 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 1.69 is 0.39 above the ERA — regression coming
Keller's 3.66 ERA / 37 K trails Lee's 3.56 / 52 — a quiet K differential. The sell-high verdict on Lee and hold on Keller reflect surface similarity masking skill divergence.